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☆ A tip from the charting pros for navigating this difficult market
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-01 | by ( Frank Cappelleri | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Currently, the S & P 500 just endured four 1% declines in a month for the first time since last October (5). The index's 20-day moving average has undercut the 50-day moving average for the first time since November, and there's a noticeable potential three-month topping pattern in play, as well. The 20-day moving average just crossed above the 50-day moving average, and both lines have started to curl higher. To drive this point home further, the upside-down version of the current S & P 500 looks a lot like… the S & P 500 (right-side-up) from last fall, as the index was coming back from the August-October correction. Here's a picture of the biggest bullish pattern from 2023, which was triggered soon after the 20-day moving average crossed over the 50-day moving average.

Persons: permabears, permabulls, it's, Frank Cappelleri

☆ Bitcoin losses could steepen after the cryptocurrency breaks below $60,000, analysts say
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-01 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The bitcoin sell-off could get worse before it gets better, according to analysts who look only at price charts. The downtrend intensified on Wednesday when it tumbled under the $60,000 level for the first time since February, as stubborn inflation and uncertainty around Federal Reserve interest rate policy kept markets under pressure. That was a key support level for bitcoin, representing the approximate convergence of the March low and 100-day moving average, according to Ari Wald, an analyst at Oppenheimer. Wolfe Research's Rob Ginsberg said $60,000 bitcoin looks "vulnerable" and that $50,000 could be in play. Bitcoin traded between $60,000 and $74,000 since mid-March, when the cryptocurrency reached new records and has failed multiple times to break out.

Persons: Ari Wald, Oppenheimer, It's, bitcoin, David Keller, Wald, Keller, Geoff Kendrick, Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Bitcoin, —, Michael Bloom, Rob Ginsberg's Organizations: CNBC Locations: U.S

☆ Beware of a dead-cat bounce and prepare for a severe market correction by making these 6 investments now, a veteran chartmaster warns
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-24 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

The S&P 500 is in its most perilous position since late last summer, cautioned David Keller, the chief market strategist at StockCharts.com. After an uptick in volatility in March 2023, the S&P 500 enjoyed a virtually uninterrupted rally before peaking on the final day of July. Related storiesIn the meantime, investors should keep a close eye on two key technical support levels for the S&P 500, Keller said: 5,050 and 4,820. Utilities are one of only two parts of the market that's up in the last month, due to its risk-off nature. The VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) is another compelling way to ride that rally, Keller said.

Persons: —, David Keller, I'm, Keller, Stocks, StockCharts.com, they're, Keller isn't, that's Organizations: Service, Business, Utilities, StockCharts.com, VanEck Oil Services, P Oil & Gas Exploration, Production, Miners Locations: East, Israel, Freeport

☆ A veteran chartmaster calling for a continued market rally says it's time to diversify away from mega-cap growth by making these 6 investments now
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-10 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Wall Street was mostly upbeat about equities heading into 2023, though even the most bullish investment firms thought the S&P 500 would finish this year at 5,100 — a level it has exceeded already. Resisting this rally is a fool's errand, according to David Keller, the chief market strategist at StockCharts.com. The long-time chartmaster warned of a near-term pullback as the S&P 500 approached its previous record high but has since abandoned his cautious call. AdvertisementFast-forward to early March, and many of those mega-cap growth names remain hot, especially Nvidia and Meta. "I like that idea, at this point, of diversifying away from mega-cap growth," Keller said.

Persons: —, David Keller, chartmaster, Keller, I'm, they've, StockCharts.com Organizations: Service, Business, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Meta, Microsoft, Apple, Companies, Hilton, Marriott, Restaurant Brands, Burger King ., Biotechnology Locations: Burger

☆ Here’s what bitcoin’s chart says about its next moves after it breached $50,000 this week
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-13 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Bitcoin broke through $50,000 to start the week and although a stubbornly high inflation reading has pulled it lower since, the cryptocurrency is still in safe territory, according to chart analysts. On Monday, the cryptocurrency finished above $50,000 – at one point rising to $50,334.00, its highest level since December 2021. BTC.CM= YTD mountain Bitcoin year-to-date Other chart analysts echoed that investors need not be too concerned about a significant decline from here. "Old resistance becomes support and that $46,000 to $48,000 can then become the jumping board for a continuation of the rally." Katie Stockton of Fairlead Strategies agreed the bitcoin chart supports "a long-term bullish bias."

Persons: Bitcoin, bitcoin, Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, Julius de Kempenaer, De Kempenaer, Katie Stockton, it'll, Stockton Organizations: CNBC, Fairlead Locations: overbought

☆ S&P 500 breaks out to new record, but some chart analysts are worried
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-22 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The S & P 500 finally surpassed its prior all-time high from January 2022 on Friday, confirming the start of a new bull market that began in October 2022. But while the market continued to build on those gains early Monday, some technical analysts are worried that cracks are beginning to show in the broad market index. .SPX 1Y mountain S & P 500 in the last 12 months BTIG chief market technician Jonathan Krinsky forecasts a pullback for the S & P 500 before it reaches the key 5,000 level, or just around 3.5% above current prices. Around 73% of the S & P 500 is currently trading above its 50-day moving average, down from more than 90% in late December, according to David Keller, chief market strategist at StockCharts.com. "New index highs lead to fatigue," said Roth Capital Partners chief market technician JC O'Hara.

Persons: Jonathan Krinsky, Krinsky, David Keller, JC O'Hara, O'Hara, There's, Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, pullbacks, Ginsberg, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Federal Reserve, Downside, Capital Partners Locations: Japan, Brazil, India, U.S, China, Europe

☆ The chartmaster who predicted the robust year-end rally shares when the S&P 500 will break through the 5,000 milestone — and outlines a 4-part investing blueprint for a disappointing pullback
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-21 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Just over two months ago, the S&P 500 was at a breaking point. After Keller's call, the S&P 500 rose nearly 6% in six weeks. The S&P 500 was stuck in purgatory for weeks, barely budging from the 4,769 level at which it entered 2024. David Keller, StockCharts.comExpect the S&P 500 to heat up heading into the summerDespite stocks' shaky near-term prospects, Keller believes their medium-term outlook is rosy. In all likelihood, Keller said the S&P 500 will regain momentum after a near-term hiccup and push toward the 5,000 milestone in April, May, or June.

Persons: David Keller, naysayers, Keller, it'll, StockCharts.com, that's Organizations: Business, Nvidia, Devices, AMD, VanEck Semiconductor Locations: StockCharts.com

☆ Bitcoin’s post-ETF launch sell-off could continue, but all-time high levels are in sight, chart analysts say
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-12 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Many investors and analysts have expressed confidence that bitcoin can reach and even surpass its all-time high level of $69,000. BTC.CM= 1Y line Bitcoin's 1-year performance per Coin Metrics He said $40,000, a level bitcoin hasn't seen since early December, would be another potential stopping point. Julius de Kempenaer, a senior technical analyst at StockCharts.com, is watching a slightly higher support level at $45,000. "While bitcoin's price is coming off a new cycle high, RSI made a lower high and was unable to get above the 70 level," Wald said. Bitcoin reached its all-time high near $69,000 in November 2021.

Persons: bitcoin, Oppenheimer, Ari Wald, Bitcoin, Julius de Kempenaer, Wald, it's oversold, de Kempenaer, Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg Organizations: U.S, CNBC, Metrics, RSI Locations: Wald

☆ A chartmaster who called the last market downturn shares why stocks could soar to new record highs by year-end — and lists 4 investments that will build on recent momentum
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-17 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

"It depends a lot on interest rates, and if they can remain where they're at, I think that's certainly a possibility," Keller said in a recent interview with Insider. Speaking of spot-on, Keller predicted in mid-September that the S&P 500 would fall to 4,100 if it broke below 4,350. "And a lot of S&P stocks are still down on the year, but that seems like it's starting to change." Its relative performance is also lacking , as the S&P 500 is up 17.3% in that span. Below are charts from Keller showing the strong technical setups of the S&P 500 and the four investments that he's especially bullish on now.

Persons: David Keller, Keller, it's, what's, Rowe Price, Russell, that's, Keller isn't, I'm, Don't, we're, he's Organizations: Business

☆ Bitcoin just broke above a key resistance level. Here's what chart analysts say happens next
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-24 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

At last, bitcoin has broken out of a tight trading range, potentially heralding greater highs from here. Investors should expect higher lows and higher highs in the bitcoin price over the next few months, chart analysts say. Wald said he's eyeing the 200-day moving average of $28,000 as a potential new support level while bitcoin runs into key retracement levels of its 2021-22 decline. Many chart analysts considered the previous support level to be about $25,000. For Julius de Kempenaer, senior technical analyst at StockCharts.com, bitcoin's former resistance level of roughly $31,000 could now become support, with the next resistance level ranging as high as $47,000 to $48,000.

Persons: bitcoin, Bitcoin, Ari Wald, Oppenheimer, it's, " Wald, he's, Jonathan Krinsky, Julius de Kempenaer, de Kempenaer, Michael Bloom Organizations: CNBC

☆ Buy the dip in Nvidia and make these 5 other investments now while stocks struggle, according to a long-time chart guru who called last month's market pullback
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-21 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

A bearish head-and-shoulders pattern has formed in the S&P 500, Keller said in a recent interview with Insider. The S&P 500 is in a head-and-shoulders pattern and could soon fall to around 4,100. His early August warning that stocks will slide was correct, though the S&P 500 didn't give up as much of its summer rally as the chart guru predicted. Outside of technology, Keller likes stocks in the utilities and energy sectors — specifically those in the oilfield services industry. The recent rebound of utilities, a defensive stalwart, is another signal that more market downside is likely ahead, Keller said.

Persons: chartmaster David Keller, Keller, StockCharts.com, we've, David Keller, Keller's, he's, it's, Keller didn't Organizations: Labor, Nvidia, Utilities, Energy, VanEck Oil Services

☆ Bitcoin fell through a key level and is giving a bearish signal. Here’s what chart analysts say happens next
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-18 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Bitcoin tumbled to finish the week after many weeks of stillness in the market, and chart analysts say it's possible this could be just the beginning. Bitcoin also broke its 200-day moving average of $27,300, which could signal an impending downtrend. A range emerges between $25,000 and $30,000 Bitcoin has been here before. The $25,000 level was a key resistance threshold from last summer through March of this year after bitcoin briefly touched $30,000 in its banking crisis-fueled rally. Fairlead Strategies' Katie Stockton puts the next downside target a little higher at $25,200, with a secondary target level of $20,600.

Persons: Bitcoin, Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, bitcoin, Julius de Kempenaer, de Kempenaer, Ari Wald, Oppenheimer, Katie Stockton, Stockton Organizations: Elon, SpaceX, CNBC, BlackRock, BTC

☆ A veteran chartmaster warns stocks will crash 11% from their peak as the remarkable market rally loses steam — but these 7 investments look destined for further gains
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-03 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

US stocks have defied all odds this year, and the market rally only strengthened in July. After two months of nearly nonstop gains for the S&P 500, a long-time chartmaster warns that the weakness that markets displayed in early August is just the beginning. As expected, the S&P 500 rallied after October when that headwind passed, and finished 2022 with a bang. Charts that Keller studies also indicate that this market rally has reached its late innings. Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) tracking those sectors include the Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE), the Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF), the Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLI), and the Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLB).

Persons: David Keller, Keller, chartmaster, Stocks, headwind, Brace, we've, StockCharts.com, Keller doesn't Organizations: Energy, P Oil & Gas Exploration, Production, Commodities

☆ Traders are wondering if now is the time for a summer market correction
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-21 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

After a string of up days, the old market leadership of technology and consumer discretionary is looking tired, and that is probably a good thing. Since 1950, August is the third-worst month for the S & P 500, while September is the worst month. That is "historically extreme," Todd Sohn from Strategas told me, though it is consistent with coming off major market lows. A torrid two-month rally has lifted the S & P Technology Sector (XLK) by 16%, but tech has mostly been for sale in the last few days. Still, for investors in the S & P 500, McClellan says no one should be surprised to see a summer correction in the next month or so.

Persons: Tom McClellan, Nate Geraci, Schwab, Todd Sohn, Strategas, John Murphy, Banks, Murphy, UnitedHealth, Johnson, Abbott, Ed Yardeni, McClellan Organizations: The, Growth, P Technology, Microsoft, Apple, Nasdaq, NVIDIA, Meta, Technology, Health Care

☆ Transports and industrials are both breaking to new highs, a sign the rally is broadening out
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-19 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Dow theory: a primer The rules around the Dow Theory were formulated more than 120 years ago by Charles Dow himself (though he himself never used the term Dow Theory). "Dow Theory was formulated when the Dow Industrials were stuff makers, and the railroads were stuff movers," Tom McClellan, editor of the McClellan Market Report, told me. New Dow Theory also confirms a new high There have been attempts to formulate a "New Dow Theory." Tuesday, the S & P 500 closed at 4,554 (up 19% this year), and the Nasdaq closed at 14,354 (up 37% year-to-date). The S & P 500 is up 9% since May 1.

Persons: Dow, Charles Dow, Tom McClellan, McClellan, David Keller, Keller, hasn't, It's, Jeff Hirsch, Hirsch Organizations: Dow Jones, Dow Jones Transportation, Dow, Dow Theory, Dow Transports, Dow Railroads, FedEx, UPS, Nasdaq Locations: U.S, uptrends

☆ Investors should ride this market rally to new all-time highs early next year by making these 10 investments now, according to 6 market strategists
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-19 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

If the S&P 500 can avoid a pullback, it could make a push toward its all-time high. Investors who weren't ready for the remarkable stock market rally of the last three months may not have completely missed out yet, according to several strategists Insider recently spoke with. While some top investing minds think this market rally isn't trustworthy, others are confident that the path of least resistance for US stocks is higher. He believes the S&P 500 is more likely to hit new highs in early 2024 than retest its Fall low of about 3,500. The S&P 500 is trading at roughly 19.2x forward earnings, he said, adding that equal-weighted funds have a forward earning ratio of about 15.5x.

Persons: Brad Bernstein, we've, I've, Bernstein, Jason Draho, Bernstein's, Draho, Jack Caffrey, Caffrey, Michael Sheldon, chartmaster David Keller, Keller, who's, David Keller, StockCharts.com, Brian Belski, Sheldon, Belski, that's Organizations: Federal Reserve, UBS Wealth Management, UBS Global Wealth Management, JPMorgan Asset Management, Fed, RDM Financial, BMO Capital Markets, BMO Capital Locations: US

☆ Wall Street’s still worried despite Friday’s fakeout
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-07 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

In other words, Wall Street still has concerns about the banking sector’s health, the Federal Reserve’s interest rate trajectory and the possibility of recession. Key inflation reports aheadThe April Consumer Price Index and Producer Price Index are on deck for next week. The Fed on Wednesday raised interest rates by a quarter point and opened the door to a pause later this year. Wednesday: April Consumer Price Index and earnings report from Disney (DIS). Thursday: April Producer Price Index, mortgage rates and jobless claims.

☆ Make these 12 investments with strong technical set ups right now while the broader market faces the risk of a 'climactic bear scenario,' according to a longtime chartmaster
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-27 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Chartmaster David Keller shared the three biggest risks facing the market right now. The S&P 500 may struggle to break past technical resistance of 4,200 and 4,300. He predicted that if the VIX rises to 20, the S&P 500 would fall to a vital support level of 3,800. The percentage of S&P 500 stocks trading above their 50-day moving average (in green) has fallen below 50% recently. David Keller, StockCharts.comPoor market breadth should be a serious concern for investors, Keller said.

☆ Where bitcoin goes next after hitting $30,000, according to chart analysts
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-11 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Bitcoin climbed above $30,000 Monday night for the first time since June – and sustained that level throughout trading on Tuesday. This week's price rally has added to the optimism around bitcoin's recent strength and resilience and interest from new investors – and chart analysts agree the cryptocurrency is in a solid uptrend trend – after posting a 63% loss for 2022. "Specially, following its March breakout above key resistance, price had consolidated sideways for a number of weeks," he said. BTC.CM= ETH.CM= 1Y line Bitcoin (BTC) and ether (ETH) over the past year Fairlead Strategies' Katie Stockton echoed that, saying bitcoin "pushed out of its consolidation phase, following a base breakout in March." The recent breakout level near $1,850 should hold in coming days to keep the momentum going.

☆ A once-bearish chartmaster explains why stocks will regain momentum and rally after last month's pullback — and shares 8 investments that his charts say to make right now
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-05 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Here are eight investments to make now while the S&P 500 rallies, according to Keller. Based on his charts, Keller's hunch is that the S&P 500 is near the lower end of a longer-term uptrend. He's encouraged by the higher highs and higher lows the index has made in the last few months. The S&P 500 has solid levels of technical support from its 50- and 200-day moving averages, which are shown in the solid blue and red lines, respectively. 8 investments to make nowBesides sharing his outlook for the broader market, Keller listed eight investments — four stocks and four exchange-traded funds (ETFs) — that have promising technical setups right now.

☆ Chart patterns suggest that these 6 investments are about to rocket higher while the rest of the market struggles in 2023, according to a veteran chartmaster
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-10 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The S&P 500 has more downside than upside at current levels, according to chartmaster David Keller. US stocks are off to a promising start in 2023 and look poised for a solid rebound after a difficult 2022, according to David Keller, the chief market strategist at StockCharts.com. The S&P 500 is in a long-term downtrend and is currently range-bound, as evidenced by its lower highs and higher lows. David Keller, StockCharts.comThe S&P 500 has traded between 3,800 to 4,100 since late October and will be stuck in that range for the next month or two, Keller said. But while monetary policy tends to steal the headlines, Keller believes technical resistance remains just as big of an issue for investors.

☆ A veteran chartmaster expects the bear market to continue into 2023 after the latest rally fizzles — but these 4 types of stocks appear to be set up for strong gains next year
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-19 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

David Keller, StockCharts.comThe S&P 500 has pulled back from the critical technical resistance level of 4,000, Keller noted. A round number like that is not only seen as a significant milestone for psychological reasons, but it's also a key Fibonacci retracement level, Keller said. The S&P 500 will likely retest the 3,200 level at some point and will be hovering around current levels by the middle of next year, the veteran chartmaster said. It's currently at 24, down from 33.6 when the S&P 500 was at its mid-October lows. The S&P 500 can hit new highs and break the 5,000 mark by late 2023, Keller said, though he doubts a breakthrough will come any earlier than that.

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